It's about that time of year to start giving a look at the 2 yr olds heading for the Breeder's Cup Juvy race. I really am only interested in pedigrees that suggest to me that the horse can get the classic distances of the Triple Crown.
Since there are usually over 400 nominated to the KY Derby it would be an enormous job to look at all of them. There are many that fall by the wayside, some sooner than others, and many that don't even make it to the races. Naturally, a pedigree doesn't mean a thing if not coupled with talent. I go on basically a race by race process to weed them out as the season progresses.
This early in the year a lot of the baby races will be won by the precocious ones who usually fade as the late bloomers mature. What may be a world beater now may not be much by the time spring rolls around. The ones with the classic breeding that show ability are put on my list to follow through the season.
Tomorrow is the Hopeful Stakes which is the first grade one of the year. There are some very fast youngsters in the race and 70% of them have won their last race. They are all stretching out in distance and that will seperate them some. Most of the ones that run well will probably get another race under their belt before the BC in Nov.
Right now I have a very short list of the pedigrees that I favor. I will be adding to the list as time goes by.
Listed in alphabetical order:
Creative Cause
Currency Swap
Exfactor
Hunt Crossing
Power World
Red Duke
Union Rags
As more are added to the list I will start comparing them to each other and try to narrow things down. Of course there are usually some well bred ones that get started late and make their presence felt down the road.
PS- I will bet a few ex in the Hopeful and hopefully nail something....2,4/1,2,4,9
Backstretch
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